Sunday, May 20, 2012

Sumaya Laher: consultation times


SUMAYA LAHER
CONSULTATION TIMES
(24 May 2012 – 19 June 2012)

MONDAYS          10:30 – 11:30    (28/09; 04/06)
TUESDAYS          09:00 – 11:00    (29/05, 05/06, 12/06)
WEDNESDAYS    09:00 – 11:00    (13/06)
THURSDAYS       09:00 – 11:00    (31/05; 07/06)
FRIDAYS             15:15 – 16:30    (15/06 OR by appointment only)

Should you wish to see me at another time, please leave a note with your name and landline number and I’ll get back to you. Alternately e-mail me sumaya.laher@wits.ac.zato make an appointment. 

Sampling


SAMPLE

A sample is a subset of a POPULATION



“A population is a group of potential participants to whom you want to generalize the results of a study. And generalizability is the name of the game; only when the results can be generalized from a sample to a population do the results of the research have meaning beyond the limited setting in which they were originally obtained.” (Salkind, 1996, pp. 85-86)



Generalisability is typically assessed by looking at the external validity of the study (please refer to Lecture 7). It is important to keep in mind though that the way in which you select the sample (the sampling strategy or type of sampling that you use) will affect the generalisability of the study!





TYPES OF SAMPLING (SAMPLING STRATEGIES)



NON-PROBABILITY SAMPLING

-      selecting a sample from a population in a way which is NOT RANDOM i.e. not every element in the population has an equal, non-zero probability (chance) of being selected

-      Advantage: convenient and economical

-      Disadvantage: No way to estimate the probability of each element being included in the sample, and no guarantee that each element has some chance of being included

-      E.g. interviewing the 1st 30 students in the Matrix on a Monday – those with no classes = no chance.



Types of non-probability sampling strategies:



Convenience samples

-      Availability and willingness to respond are the selection criteria for the sample

-      Includes volunteer sampling

-      Includes snowball sampling:

Ø Appropriate when members of a special population are difficult to locate

Ø Ask members of target population to provide information to locate other members of the same population they happen to know





Quota samples

-     The researcher first identifies categories of people e.g. male/female and then decides how many people to include in the sample from each of these categories.

-     Advantage: the researcher can ensure that population differences are accounted for

-     Disadvantage: once categories are fixed, choice of persons to fill these categories is still haphazard, thus misrepresentation and researcher bias in choice of sample may occur.



Purposive samples

-     The researcher handpicks the elements to be included in the sample on the basis of expert judgement

-     Sample consists of those who have certain desired characteristics or who are likely to provide useful information for the study being done

-     E.g. – market research, voter trend samples etc…







PROBABILITY SAMPLING

-       selecting a sample from a population by means of RANDOM sampling

-      RANDOM SELECTION / RANDOM SAMPLING: A selection procedure in which every element in the population has a known non-zero probability of being chosen for the sample i.e. selecting a sample from the whole population in such a way that the characteristics of each of the units of the sample approximates the characteristics of the total population.

-     Advantage: reduces bias

-     Disadvantage: Not always practical, not necessarily time and cost efficient

-     E.g. a list of all students registered is obtained from the dean’s office and the participants’ names are picked randomly*



Types of Probability Sampling Strategies



Simple random sampling

-      Basic technique, used if relatively homogenous population

-      Strategy in which each possible sample of a specified size in a defined population has an equal chance of being chosen.

-      Normal procedure: a sampling frame is established (a list of elements in the population from which the sample is drawn). Each element in the population (sampling frame) is numbered, and the required sample size is decided. A table of random numbers is then used to determine each element in the sample.

-      Seldom used in practice – labourious and inefficient process

           

Systematic sampling

-     Used in preference to simple random sampling if a sampling frame (list of all elements in population) is available, and the population is relatively homogenous in character

-     The sample size required is divided into the size of the sampling frame, to yield a value k. A table of random numbers is then used to select only the first element in the sample, thereafter every kth element is then included.





Stratified random sampling

-     Used when a sampling frame is available, but the population does not appear to be relatively homogenous.

-     Instead the sample is considered in terms of sub-populations or strata (which are relatively homogenous). Each stratum is defined, and a separate sampling frame for each is constructed. Random samples are then drawn from each stratum.

-     There are two commonly used methods for determining the number of subjects selected from each stratum: drawing equally-sized samples from each or draw samples on a proportional basis (i.e. representative of the proportion of the entire population that the stratum represents).



Cluster sampling

-     If a sampling frame is difficult or impossible to develop, often an aggregate or cluster of elements is used as a sampling unit in which each cluster stands an equal chance of being included in the sample i.e. cluster sampling

-     Problematic as it may introduce particular biases into the research process, e.g. not all the clusters may be equivalent, which affects the validity of the study.



·       SAMPLING WITH REPLACEMENT

·       SAMPLING WITHOUT REPLACEMENT


Thursday, May 17, 2012

Research Design/Psychometrics Revision lecture

RDA IIA REVISION LECTURE

Research Design & Psychometrics


Thursday, 14th June, 9h00-12h00* in SHB 5 (Senate House Basement 5)


*This revision lecture is OPTIONAL. We will try to finish as early as possible, depending on questions and discussion.


Please prepare the following:

a) MAY/JUNE EXAM 2011 – PSYC2005: EXAM 2 (Research Design & Psychometrics) (pp. 23-27 in Tutorial Pack II)

b) Any additional examples from any of the exams that you would like to go over for Research Design or Psychometrics and/or any questions you have about either section.


If you are not able to attend this revision session, you are welcome to come and consult with the lecturers during their exam consultation times and/or please organise to get notes from a friend.

Statistics Revision Lecture

RDA IIA REVISION LECTURE

Statistics


Monday, 11th June, 11h00-14h00* in SHB 5 (Senate House Basement 5)


*This revision lecture is OPTIONAL. We will try to finish as early as possible, depending on questions and discussion.


NB: Please bring all handouts you have received in tutorials and tables with


Please prepare the following:

a) OCTOBER/NOVEMBER EXAM 2011 – PSYC2012: EXAM 1 (Statistics) (pp. 27-31 in Tutorial Pack II)

b) Any additional examples from any of the exams that you would like to go over for Statistics and/or any questions you have for this section.


If you are not able to attend this revision session, you are welcome to come and consult with the lecturers during their exam consultation times and/or please organise to get notes from a friend.

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

LECTURE 13: ASSESSING RESEARCH II – EXTERNAL, STATISTICAL CONCLUSION AND MEASUREMENT VALIDITY & CONCLUDING RESEARCH


EXTERNAL VALIDITY



EXTERNAL VALIDITY

-     External validity is the degree of generalisability of findings from a piece of research to other situations, events and settings i.e. the degree of generalisability or representativeness

-     It is important because external validity determines the degree to which results can be applied to other contexts and populations.



POPULATION VALIDITY

-     Refers to the characteristics of the sample, as compared to the characteristics of the population from which it is drawn

-     Problematic if the sample is specialized so that conclusions can only be made to a limited population

-     E.g. – students to employees, mice to humans etc…



ECOLOGICAL VALIDITY 

-     The degree to which it is appropriate to generalise from one context to another e.g. geographically

-     E.g. – South Africa to America, lab experiment to naturalistic environment etc…





THREATS TO EXTERNAL VALIDITY



      THREATS TO POPULATION VALIDITY

-     lack of adequate definition of a target population

-     bias in sampling

-     self-selection and volunteer bias

-     non-representative sub-populations or sub-populations reflecting certain characteristics of the population but not others

-     generalisation of results from clinical studies or case studies

-     generalisation of results from animal to human, or across species



      THREATS TO ECOLOGICAL VALIDITY

-     generalisation across geographic areas

-     generalisation from laboratory to field settings

-     generalisation from unique contexts

-     generalisation across experiments or treatments

-     treatment by setting interactions



Threats to external validity are often countered by REPLICATION and/or

      TRIANGULATION



REPLICATION: duplicating findings from a particular study across different contexts and/or sample groups (Leedy & Ormrod, 2005)



TRIANGULATION: using multiple sources of data, methods of data collection, types of analyses or researchers to establish convergences in findings (Leedy & Ormrod, 2005)





  

STATISTICAL CONCLUSION VALIDITY



This involves assessing the use of both descriptive and inferential statistics and fits into the quantitative research process at the point of the analysis of data collected. Assessing statistical conclusion validity is heavily dependent on understanding when it is appropriate to use particular types of statistical analyses, and what decision need to be considered – these issues are addressed in the STATISTICS component of the course.



STATISTICAL CONCLUSION VALIDITY

-    Statistical conclusion validity is about ensuring that the statistics are appropriate for the design used

-    Having strong statistical conclusion validity means that the correct statistical procedure has been chosen to analyse the data, and that the assumptions of the statistical procedures chosen match those applying to the study (All statistical procedures are based on assumptions about the mathematical properties of the numbers being used, and if these are violated both the statistics and the results of the study will be invalid)    





MEASUREMENT VALIDITY



This involves assessing whether the conceptualization and operationalisation (measurement or manipulation) of the variables was appropriate and/or successful within the research. This is heavily dependent on understanding principles of psychological measurement – these issues are addressed in the PSYCHOMETRICS component of the course.



NB:

VALIDITY is important because it is important to make knowledge claims from research that is appropriate and not excessive. Only in designs relatively free from internal, external, statistical conclusion and measurement validity threats, is it possible to make firm and sound knowledge claims. 





ASSESSING QUALITATIVE RESEARCH

With quantitative research we utilise internal, external, statistical conclusion and measurement validity as evaluative tools to assess the rigour of a research project. These tools are not applicable to qualitative research. Separate criteria are used to assess the rigour and utility of qualitative research, for example, those identified by Guba & Lincoln (1983):



·       Credibility: research needs to demonstrate that it was conducted in such a manner so as to ensure that the phenomena were accurately identified and described

·       Transferability: demonstrating the applicability of one set of findings to another context

·       Dependability: the researcher attempts to account for changing conditions to the phenomenon chosen for research as well as changes in the design created by an increasingly refined understanding of the setting

·       Confirmability: is focused on whether the results of the research could be confirmed and places the evaluation on the data themselves



DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS



CONCLUSIONS



Statistical analysis allows one to test whether significant differences exist but the mathematical conclusions obtained from statistical testing need to be translated into ‘English’. In other words the statistical results need to be framed and interpreted within the context of the research study and the relevant correlational and/or causal conclusions need to be drawn. The results must be ‘translated’ in relation to the hypothesis specified.



·       Causal hypotheses should yield causal conclusions (need to assess to what extent the criteria for causality have been met)  



·       Correlational hypotheses should yield correlational conclusions (NB: correlational hypotheses do not usually enable one to make causal conclusions - correlation does not imply causation).   



KNOWLEDGE CLAIMS

-      Knowledge claims involve situating the findings of the study within the broader area or field in which the study is located i.e. situating the findings within available literature and what is already known.

-      Knowledge claims are strongly dependent on the validity of the study

Common threats to internal validity


INSTRUMENTATION

-     Instruments used in research must be reliable, valid and suitable to answering the question.

-     Invalid instruments cannot provide valid measurements of the variable of interest and instruments do not always have the same validity in different contexts or over time.

-     Instruments may also interfere with what they are attempting to measure i.e. react with the phenomenon they are attempting to measure (instrument reactivity) e.g. A subject becoming upset due to traumatic memories while filling out a questionnaire on PTSD

-     use valid, reliable, fair instruments                             





HISTORY

-     Refers to environmental events that are unrelated to the variables of the study which occur during the research and may influence the results

-     E.g. – class attendance and the weather; political situation and media exposure; fuel consumption prices and traffic safety

-     random assignment, matching (personal history)



MATURATION

-     Refers to any systematic changes/ processes in an organism’s biological or psychological condition over time which are not related to or produced by the study i.e. any physical, psychological or emotional changes occurring in subjects over time

-     Particularly problematic in studies involving children or longitudinal studies.

-     E.g. – a two-year case study of a college graduate entering a new job

-     random assignment, shorter duration



TESTING  

-     Refers to the possible effects of having already taken a test on an individual’s score when s/he takes the test a second time i.e. gains in performance on test-retest designs may be at least partially due to testing effects, as opposed to the IV.

-     Problems of familiarity with format, administration and content

-     E.g. – taking the same final year exam twice

-     no pretest, alternate forms of the same test



STATISTICAL REGRESSION

-     In studies involving repeated testing under the same conditions, there is often a trend for extreme scores in a distribution to move or regress towards the mean

-     no pretest, alternate forms of the same test, random assignment (Solomon Four design allowing influence of statistical regression to be estimated)



SELECTION BIAS

-     Occurs when there is a breakdown of random assignment i.e. there is bias (a systematic difference) in the division of the EG and CG

-     NB: selection bias applies to selecting the EG and CG from the sample – it does not apply to selecting the sample itself (issues of bias in selecting the sample from the population apply to threats to population validity – please refer to Lecture 8)

-     Occurs when one group has particular characteristics that the other does not i.e. non-equivalent groups.

-     random assignment, matching



DIFFERENTIAL ATTRITION

-     Attrition refers to the loss of subjects from the study, often caused by withdrawal (refusal to continue) or life events

-     Differential attrition occurs when the numbers of subjects lost are not equal between the groups i.e. differential subject loss.

-     Problematic because it may not be random, thus introducing an extraneous variable, and possibly limiting the generalisability of results

-     quasi-controls, motivational manipulations



DIFFUSION

-     The spread of treatment effects from the EG to the CG

-     May contaminate or confound the effects of the treatment

-     Placebo control method, keep groups apart, shorter duration, deception, disguised experiment



o   COMPENSATORY EQUALISATION 

§  Untreated groups or subjects (CG) learn of the treatment received by the EG and demand the same treatment, thus confounding the effects of the treatment

§  Members of the CG may also attempt to compensate on their own, thus confounding the effects of the treatment

§  E.g. a new teaching method



o   COMPENSATORY RIVALRY (The John Henry Effect)

§  Untreated groups or subjects (CG) learn of the treatment received by the EG and thus work extra hard to compensate and exceed the EG i.e. the superiority of the EG is not demonstrated



o   RESENTFUL DEMORALISATION

§  Opposite effect of compensatory rivalry, and occurs when untreated subjects or groups (CG) learn of the treatment received by the EG and thus become less productive, efficient or motivated as a result

§  Can create appearance of benefit from the treatment, even when this is not the case



HAWTHORNE EFFECTS

-     Distortions in behaviour that occur when people are aware that they are being observed/participating in a study

-     unobtrusive studies/naturalistic observation (ethics?), adaptation period, deception



GOOD SUBJECT / HALO EFFECT / FAKING GOOD

-     Refers to the possibility that subject responses may be distorted by a desire/need to meet social expectations/ please the researcher/appear better than reality

-     deception, disguised experiment, sacrifice group, motivational manipulation, bogus pipeline strategy



FAKING BAD

-     Refers to the possibility that subject responses may be distorted by a desire to thwart the researcher/appear worse than reality

-     Opposite of halo effects/faking good

-     deception, disguised experiment, sacrifice group, motivational manipulation, bogus pipeline strategy



EXPERIMENTER EFFECTS    

2 ways in which experimenter can influence study, viz.    



o   NON – INTERACTIONAL EXPERIMENTER EFFECTS

§  Bias (systematic errors in interpretation/observation)

§  Dishonesty (intentional effect)

§  Sloppiness (intentional effect)

§  ask an objective colleague/expert, professional review panels



o   INTERACTIONAL EXPERIMENTER EFFECTS

§  Biosocial & psychosocial effects (e.g. gender)

§  Experimenter expectancy/ self-fulfilling prophecy

§  quasi-controls, blind techniques, automation